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innovation to stock return correlation in a vector autoregression are nearly identical to those of a news shock about future … productivity. Thus, market-wide changes in return correlation contain information about changes in future technological …
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correlation complement each other in identifying time-varying patterns found in the (co-)movement between the variables …-varying correlation ; regime transition ; multivariate GARCH ; smooth transition ; cross-asset correlation ; non-linear estimation …The correlation between stock markets and interest rates has been discussed in numerous studies in the past, with …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009625556
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This paper investigates the dynamic linkages in terms of the first and second moments between stock and bond returns, within a wide range of advanced economies, over the different phases of the recent financial crisis. The adopted empirical framework is a bivariate volatility model, where...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011663407
Using a unique data set that contains the complete ownership structure of the German stock market, we study the momentum and contrarian trading of different investor groups. Foreign investors and financial institutions, and especially mutual funds, are momentum traders, whereas private...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010471006
Using a unique survey dataset, the author studies how financial market experts form their stock market expectations. He documents a strong disagreement among experts about how important macroeconomic and financial variables are related to stock returns. The results of an analysis of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012420532
Using a unique survey dataset, I study how financial market experts form their stock market expectations. I document a strong disagreement among experts about how important macroeconomic and financial variables are related to stock returns. The results of an analysis of the relationships between...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013175639
This study focuses on the diversification benefits of the most developed equity markets of Central and Eastern Europe (CEE). To evaluate these benefits of diversification we use so-called spanning tests based on a stochastic discount factor approach and estimated by General Methods of Moments...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013428350
To simultaneously consider mixed-frequency time series, their joint dynamics, and possible structural changes, we introduce a time-varying parameter mixed-frequency VAR. To keep our approach from becoming too complex, we implement time variation parsimoniously: only the intercepts and a common...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011903709