Accominotti, Olivier; Albers, Thilo N. H.; Oosterlinck, Kim - 2023
This paper explores how selective default expectations affect the pricing of sovereign bonds in a historical laboratory …: the German default of the 1930s. We analyze yield differentials between identical government bonds traded across various … selective default probability can be priced in bond yield spreads. Selective default risk accounted for one third of the yield …