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Starting from an information process governed by a geometric Brownian motion we show that asset returns are predictable if the elasticity of the pricing kernel is not constant. Declining [Increasing] elasticity of the pricing kernel leads to mean reversion and negatively autocorrelated asset...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013428490
effectiveness of a theory-based decision-making tool, the VRIO-Framework, in predicting the stock-market performance of different … companies. The VRIO's predictive power is compared to the predictions derived from Analyst Ratings that are a widespread and … practical usefulness of resource-based theory. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008665447
Using a unique survey dataset, I study how financial market experts form their stock market expectations. I document a strong disagreement among experts about how important macroeconomic and financial variables are related to stock returns. The results of an analysis of the relationships between...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013175639
Using a unique survey dataset, the author studies how financial market experts form their stock market expectations. He documents a strong disagreement among experts about how important macroeconomic and financial variables are related to stock returns. The results of an analysis of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012420532
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003532777
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During the global financial crisis, stressed market conditions led to skyrocketing corporate bond spreads that could not be explained by conventional modeling approaches. This paper builds on this observation and sheds light on time-variations in the relationship between systematic risk factors...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011855295
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Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003528450
We develop a new Bayesian estimator that is able to deal with multivariate panel data structure in the presence of spatial correlation. The analysis of panel data introduced here allows us to analyze not only the fixed effect but also the random effect model. This work extends the previous study...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012059270