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effectiveness of monetary policy can be linked to weaker responses of credit costs, suggesting a financial accelerator mechanism … improve funding conditions and credit supply, and thereby to stimulate the economy. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011564503
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German credit register to show that asset scarcity had real effects: Banks more exposed to asset scarcity increased their … credit supply. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012651072
negative territory just before business cycle peaks and then strongly recovers as the recession unfolds. Recessions are … well. We show that such model-implied recession probabilities strongly improve equity premium prediction out-of-sample. We …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012607106
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The recent financial crisis has put the spotlight on the rapid rise in credit which preceded it. In this paper, we … provide an empirical and theoretical analysis of the credit boom and the macroeconomic context in which it developed. We find … economies in which it took place. We show that this type of credit and financial cycle is hard to reconcile with existing …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003843801
Understanding the impact of changing interest rates onto banks' net interest margin is of central importance for various stakeholders. The primary focus lies often on changes in the interest level. However, changes in the steepness are a second driver which also significantly impacts banks'...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014320529
Life insurers typically grant policyholders a surrender option. We demonstrate that the resulting lapse risk could materialise in the form of a "policyholder run" if interest rates were to increase sharply. An inverse stress test based on a unique set of regulatory panel data suggests that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011285414
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rate risk and to credit risk are remunerated, that banks' try to stabilize the mid-term net interest margin with exposure … credit risk. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012160610