horizon-dependent biases and lower accuracy than simple unconditional uncertainty forecasts. We examine the inflation …

revisit claims in the literature that money growth is Granger-causal for inflation at low frequencies. Applying frequency …-specific tests in a comprehensive system setup for euro-area data we consider various theoretical predictors of inflation. A general … Granger-causal for low-frequency inflation movements, and all variables affect money growth. We therefore interpret opposite …

conditions and to any form of intertemporal or nominal-real links. They are easy to employ in practice, using inflation protected … bonds to infer real rates. With a time-varying inflation target, they can implement arbitrary inflation dynamics, including …

. Previous literature has highlighted the role of an economy's "structure" - such as its inflation volatility, inflation rate …, forecasts predicting how a given exchange rate movement will impact inflation at a specific point in time should take into …

number of inflation and real activity measures for the United States. We identify demand and supply factors by imposing … demand and supply over the past five decades. The most recent factor estimates indicate that the inflation surge since mid …

inflation. Furthermore, home bias in households' preferences allows for real exchange rate fluctuation, giving rise to …

Our paper studies the relationship between money growth and consumer price inflation in the euro area using wavelet … analysis. Wavelet analysis allows to account for variations in the money growth-inflation relationship both across the … frequency spectrum and across time. We find evidence of strong comovements between money growth and inflation at low frequencies …

We assess the effects of financial shocks on inflation, and to what extent financial shocks can account for the … shocks through sign restrictions. Our main finding is that expansionary financial shocks temporarily lower inflation. This … during the latest financial crisis. We then explore the transmission channels of financial shocks relevant for inflation, and …

anchoring of inflation expectations. I carry out my analysis based on a high-frequency identification and the estimation of a … mandate of price stability in the current low-inflation, low-interest-rate scenario. This paper contributes to the existing … forward guidance, i.e. forecasters revise their long-run expectations upwards. Consequently, inflation increases, which …