find a higher average forecast accuracy of models that incorporate information on inflation expectations from the ECB’s SPF … inflation expectations are typically not large but significant in some periods. Both short- and long-term expectations provide … (not always for the countries). The analysis is undertaken for headline inflation and inflation excluding energy and food …

revisit claims in the literature that money growth is Granger-causal for inflation at low frequencies. Applying frequency …-specific tests in a comprehensive system setup for euro-area data we consider various theoretical predictors of inflation. A general … Granger-causal for low-frequency inflation movements, and all variables affect money growth. We therefore interpret opposite …

analyze China’s role in global inflation dynamics. We identify Chinese supply and demand shocks and examine their … to be more strongly affected than consumer prices by Chinese shocks. The overall share of international inflation … exposure help explaining crosscountry differences in price responses. -- Global inflation ; China ; international business …

This paper contrasts empirically four leading models of inflation dynamics - the accelerationist Phillips curve (APC …

This paper examines the reasons for the declining path of inflation since the 1970s. In particular, it focusses on the … inflation. The paper makes use of different data from individual countries and panel of countries. These data show that the … dispersion of inflation and the behavior of relative prices follow a pattern that is consistent with several globalization …

. Previous literature has highlighted the role of an economy's "structure" - such as its inflation volatility, inflation rate …, forecasts predicting how a given exchange rate movement will impact inflation at a specific point in time should take into …

techniques can help to improve the nowcast of monthly German inflation in real time. Our nowcasting exercise targets three … the lowest aggregation level underlying official German inflation, such as those of butter and coffee beans. We show that … demonstrate that these scanner-based price indices improve inflation nowcasts at this very narrow level, notably already after the …

Recent monetary search models emphasize that the real effects of inflation via its impact on price dispersion depend on … the level of search costs and, thus, on the level of market integration. For less integrated markets, the inflation …-price dispersion nexus is predicted to be asymmetrically V-shaped which implies an optimal inflation rate above zero. For highly …

We introduce a dynamic panel threshold model to shed new light on the impact of inflation on long-term economic growth … industrialized countries, our results confirm the inflation targets of about 2% set by many central banks. For non …-industrialized countries, we estimate that inflation hampers growth if it exceeds 17%. Below this threshold, however, the impact of inflation …