Showing 1 - 10 of 953
-time data flow as well as parameter uncertainty and time-varying volatility. In addition, we develop a fast estimation algorithm …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012119825
Since the influential paper of Stock and Watson (2002), the dynamic factor model (DFM) has been widely used for forecasting macroeconomic key variables such as GDP. However, the DFM has some weaknesses. For nowcasting, the dynamic factor model is modified by using the mixed data sampling...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011566828
Among a variety of small area estimation methods, one popular approach for the estimation of linear and non …-linear indicators is the empirical best predictor. However, parameter estimation using standard maximum likelihood methods is not … is often the case for income variables. Therefore, this work proposes an estimation method, which enables the estimation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011703587
This paper considers factor estimation from heterogenous data, where some of the variables are noisy and only weakly … estimation with sparse priors on the loadings matrix. The choice of a sparse prior is an extension to the existing macroeconomic … majority of the variables in both datasets are irrelevant for factor estimation. -- Factor models ; variable selection ; sparse …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009674269
easily integrated into Bayesian estimation procedures like the Gibbs sampler. By allowing for incomplete data sets, the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012510141
Dynamic factor models and external instrument identification are two recent advances in the empirical macroeconomic literature. This paper combines the two approaches in order to study the effects of monetary policy shocks. I use this novel framework to re-examine the effects found by Forni and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011636064
We study whether the accuracy of real-time estimates of the output gap produced by the OECD has improved over time by examining a panel dataset on real-time output gap revisions for 15 countries from 1991 Q1 - 2005 Q4. We use a simple panel data regression and a state space model, with common...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009559228
Using arbitrage-free affine models, we analyze the dynamics of German bond yields and risk premia for the period 1999 to 2010 (EMU). We estimate two model specifications, one with only latent factors, and another one with a Taylor-type rule comprising a price and a real activity factor drawn...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009656194
This paper compares alternative estimation procedures for multi-level factor models which imply blocks of zero …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010373684
The extent to which push and pull factors affect international capital flows is widely debated. We contribute to this strand of literature by estimating the relative importance of push and pull factors for portfolio flows over a time span, encompassing the global financial crisis, the European...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012876155