How much does quality adjustment matter in measuring consumer price inflation? To address this question, we use … inflation only by 0.06 percentage points, which is balanced out by an increase due to quantity adjustment (e.g. a smaller … deriving the distribution of member states’ cumulative inflation rates for typical quality-adjusted products. Our macro …

. Previous literature has highlighted the role of an economy's "structure" - such as its inflation volatility, inflation rate …, forecasts predicting how a given exchange rate movement will impact inflation at a specific point in time should take into …

The shifts in household consumption caused by the coronavirus pandemic affect inflation measurement in the euro area … via the updating of product weights. We propose a decomposition of the inflation rate, measured by the annual percentage …, considering the evolution of measurement rules over time and marking differences to a decomposition into pure price change and …

systematically understated. The effect rests on overstated inflation estimates due to imputed prices for disappearing goods and …

Current HICP measurement practices produce an upward bias of about one-ninth of a percentage point in German inflation … the euro area HICP. The measurement of the German HICP is impaired by the extrapolation of expenditure weights, and the … consider this source of mismeasurement when assessing the precision of the HICP as a measure of "true" inflation. …

techniques can help to improve the nowcast of monthly German inflation in real time. Our nowcasting exercise targets three … the lowest aggregation level underlying official German inflation, such as those of butter and coffee beans. We show that … demonstrate that these scanner-based price indices improve inflation nowcasts at this very narrow level, notably already after the …

Our paper studies the relationship between money growth and consumer price inflation in the euro area using wavelet … analysis. Wavelet analysis allows to account for variations in the money growth-inflation relationship both across the … frequency spectrum and across time. We find evidence of strong comovements between money growth and inflation at low frequencies …

The failure to predict the surge in inflation in 2021 raises questions about whether we are better equipped to … anticipate a future decline in inflation. What tools do we intend to use for predicting the trajectory of inflation? Are we still … primarily relying on survey data regarding inflation expectations, and are we still employing a Calvo-type structure to model …

find a higher average forecast accuracy of models that incorporate information on inflation expectations from the ECB’s SPF … inflation expectations are typically not large but significant in some periods. Both short- and long-term expectations provide … (not always for the countries). The analysis is undertaken for headline inflation and inflation excluding energy and food …