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Political budget cycles in European public procurement
Havlik, Annika - 2020
This paper studies whether political budget cycles occur in public procurement in the European Union. Using project- level data from Tenders Electronic Daily (2008-2018), I analyze different steps along the procurement process, namely the publication of the contract notice, the awarding of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012319107
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Learning about fiscal policy and the effects of policy uncertainty
Hollmayr, Josef; Matthes, Christian - 2013
The recent crisis in the United States has often been associated with substantial amounts of policy uncertainty. In this paper we ask how uncertainty about fiscal policy affects the impact of fiscal policy changes on the economy when the government tries to counteract a deep recession. The...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010211956
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Election cycles in European public procurement
Havlik, Annika; Heinemann, Friedrich; Nover, Justus - 2021
This paper studies the existence of election cycles in public procurement in the European Union for the national level. We analyze different steps along the procurement process, namely the publication of the contract notice, the awarding of the contract, and the project completion. We point out...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012649806
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Tales of transition paths : policy uncertainty and random walks
Hollmayr, Josef; Matthes, Christian - 2015
What happens when fiscal and/or monetary policy changes systematically? We construct a DSGE model in which agents have to estimate fiscal and monetary policy rules and assess how uncertainty surrounding the conduct of policymakers influences transition paths after policy changes. We find that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011292321
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New Keynesian versus old Keynesian government spending multipliers : a comment
Hughes Hallett, Andrew; Rannenberg, Ansgar; Schreiber, Sven - 2014
Cogan et al. (2009, 2010) claim that the stimulus package passed by the United States Congress in February 2009 had a multiplier far below one. However, the stimulus ́multiplier strongly depends on the assumed monetary policy response. Based on official statements from the Fed chairman, the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010258714
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German and the rest of euro area fiscal policy during the crisis
Gadatsch, Niklas; Hauzenberger, Klemens; Stähler, Nikolai - 2015
We present the estimated large-scale three-region DSGE model GEAR picturing Germany, the Euro Area and the Rest of the … present-value multipliers for distinct fiscal instruments, and to assess how discretionary fiscal policy in Germany and the …-on-quarter GDP growth substantially, both in Germany and in the rest of the Euro Area. The main drivers of GDP growth in Europe …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010516561
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German labor market and fiscal reforms 1999 to 2008 : can they be blamed for intra-euro area imbalances?
Gadatsch, Niklas; Stähler, Nikolai; Weigert, Benjamin - 2015
. Further simulations highlight the importance of increased savings preferences in Germany to explain the latter. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011316580
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Gauging the effects of the German COVID-19 fiscal stimulus package
Hinterlang, Natascha; Moyen, Stéphane; Röhe, Oke; … - 2021
We simulate the fiscal stimulus packages set up by the German government to allevi-ate the costs of the COVID-19 pandemic in a dynamic New Keynesian multi-sectorgeneral equilibrium model. We find that, cumulated over 2020-2022, output lossesrelative to steady state can be reduced by more than 4...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012671256
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Household savings, capital investments and public policies : what drives the German current account?
Ruppert, Kilian; Stähler, Nikolai - 2020
pensionreforms led to an increase in the household savings rate in Germany until about2010. As domestic investment opportunities …. After 2010, private savings remained rather stable, but opportunities to investin Germany declined further. Our simulations …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012256500
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Incumbency and expectations of fiscal rule compliance : evidence from surveys of German policy makers
Heinemann, Friedrich; Janeba, Eckhard; Todtenhaupt, … - 2020
In this paper, we analyze politicians’ expectations about future compliance with a fiscal rule, and in particular the dependence of the expectations on their role in parliament (opposition vs. incumbent government coalition). In addition, we explore how opposition and incumbent politicians...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012304830