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The dynamic effects of ECB announcements, disentangled into pure monetary policy and central bank information shocks, on the euro (EUR) exchange rate are examined using a Bayesian Proxy Vector Autoregressive (VAR) model fed with high-frequency data. Contractionary monetary policy shocks result...
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We revisit medium- to long-run exchange rate determination, focusing on the role of international investment positions. To do so, we make use of a new econometric framework accounting for conditional long-run homogeneity in heterogeneous dynamic panel data models. In particular, in our model the...
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. Previous literature has highlighted the role of an economy's "structure" - such as its inflation volatility, inflation rate …
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We estimate the effects of a negative asymmetric demand shock on the real exchange rate for the euro area vis-à-vis the United States, Canada, and Japan by state-dependent sign-restricted local projection methods. We find a real depreciation when interest rates are not at the ZLB, but also when...
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that a rise in conditional consumption growth volatility relative to the rest of the world reduces the foreign exchange … relation between the volatility in consumption growth and the level of real interest rates relative to the world interest rate … rates and macroeconomic volatility, on the one hand, and macroeconomic volatility and the net foreign asset position, on the …
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