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A major challenge for monetary policy has been predicting how exchange rate movements will impact inflation. We propose …
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We analyze Granger causality testing in a mixed-frequency VAR, where the difference in sampling frequencies of the variables is large. Given a realistic sample size, the number of high-frequency observations per low-frequency period leads to parameter proliferation problems in case we attempt to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011415576
VARs are a popular tool for forecasting and structural analysis, but ill-suited to handle occasionally binding constraints, like the effective lower bound on nominal interest rates. We extend the VAR framework by modeling interest rates as censored observations of a latent shadow-rate process,...
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exchange rate and to the medium term interest rate are for the 1999-2004 period, the most important sources of inflation rate …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012024203
fiscal stance and inflation using crosscountry data from 1965 to 1999. In a first step, we contrast the monetary … that the low-frequency relationship between the fiscal stance and inflation is low during periods of an independent central … illustrate the mechanisms through which fiscal actions affect inflation in the long run. The findings from the DSGE model suggest …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011391752
We estimate the low-frequency relationship between fiscal deficits and inflation and pay special attention to its … suggest that the low-frequency relationship between fiscal deficits and inflation is strongly related to the conduct of … monetary policy and its interaction with fiscal policy after World War II. -- Time-Varying VAR ; Inflation ; Public Deficits …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009732985
. -- Great inflation ; passive policy ; break tests ; vector autoregressions …
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