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Lüders, Erik - 2002

Starting from an information process governed by a geometric Brownian motion we show that asset returns are predictable if the elasticity of the pricing kernel is not constant. Declining [Increasing] elasticity of the pricing kernel leads to mean reversion and negatively autocorrelated asset...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013428490

What triggers stock market jumps?

Baker, Scott; Bloom, Nicholas; Davis, Steven J.; … - 2021

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012614411

Financial crises and the dynamic linkages between stock and bond returns

Eraslan, Sercan; Ali, Faek Menla - 2017

framework is a bivariate volatility model, where volatility spillovers of either positive or negative sign are allowed for. Our … countries. Regarding the volatility spillovers, such spillovers from bond returns to those of stocks are stronger than the other … results show that by considering time-varying return and volatility spillovers when calculating the risk-minimising portfolio …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011663407

Do financial market experts know their theory? : new evidence from survey data

Brückbauer, Frank - 2022 - This draft: April 2022

Using a unique survey dataset, I study how financial market experts form their stock market expectations. I document a strong disagreement among experts about how important macroeconomic and financial variables are related to stock returns. The results of an analysis of the relationships between...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013175639

Do financial market experts know their theory? : new evidence from survey data

Brückbauer, Frank - 2020

Using a unique survey dataset, the author studies how financial market experts form their stock market expectations. He documents a strong disagreement among experts about how important macroeconomic and financial variables are related to stock returns. The results of an analysis of the...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012420532

Tests for jumps in yield spreads

Winkelmann, Lars; Yao, Wenying - 2021

This paper develops high-frequency econometric methods to test for jumps in the spread of bond yields. We derive a coherent inference procedure that detects a jump in the yield spread only if at least one of the two underlying bonds displays a jump. We formalize the test as a sequential...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012655372

Procyclical asset management and bond risk premia

Barbu, Alexandru; Fricke, Christoph; Mönch, Emanuel - 2020

Institutional funds have concentrated ownership by a few institutional investors, infrequent outflows and essentially no leverage. Yet using unique granular data on the bond holdings of institutional funds, we show that their trading behavior is strongly procyclical: they actively move into...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012250652

Oil price shocks and stock return volatility : new evidence based on volatility impulse response analysis

Eraslan, Sercan; Ali, Faek Menla - 2018

We use volatility impulse response analysis estimated from the bivariate GARCH-BEKK model to quantify the size and the … persistence of different types of oil price shocks on stock return volatility and the covariance between oil price changes and …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011903691

Time-varying stock return correlation, news shocks, and business cycles

Metiu, Norbert; Prieto, Esteban - 2023 - November 25, 2022

The cross-sectional average of pairwise correlations across stocks traded on the NYSE, AMEX, and Nasdaq is a powerful predictor of U.S. economic activity at a horizon of one to four years. Its predictive ability is on a par with the slope of the yield curve and significantly exceeds that of some...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014227600

Apparent bubbles and misspecified fundamentals

Smith, Gregor W. - 1987

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003532777

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