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Measuring economic uncertainty is crucial for understanding investment decisions by individuals and firms. Macroeconomists increasingly rely on survey data on subjective expectations. An innovative approach to measure aggregate uncertainty exploits the rounding patterns in individuals' responses...
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real economic activity growth, in line with a risk shock. Conversely, a certainty shock (a shock strongly decreasing …
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In a structural dynamic model that incorporates two broad production sectors with different carbon emissions, we find that climate policy uncertainty (CPU) shocks (i) lower the market value of the highly carbon-emitting sector relative to the low carbon-emitting sector, and (ii) reduce real...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014330990
We develop a measure of static misallocation that separates uncertainty from misallocation generated by tax-like distortions. In the Finnish firm-level data, uncertainty accounts for the majority of ex post misallocation and explains a strong decreasing age-dependent trend in it. To understand...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012583062
liquidation costs. In particular, in our model ambiguity aversion is observationally equivalent to increased risk aversion. This …
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Previous work suggests a general uncertainty surrounding the migration process acts as a barrier to outmigration. In this paper, we argue that this barrier is exacerbated when relative economic policy uncertainty is higher in the target country and mitigated when relatively higher in the origin...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014232682
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