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Forecasting banknote circulation during the COVID-19 pandemic using structural time series models
Bartzsch, Nikolaus; Brandi, Marco; Pastor, Raymond de; … - 2023
As part of the Eurosystem’s annual banknote production planning, the national central banks draw up forecasts estimating the volumes of national-issued banknotes in circulation for the three years ahead. As at the end of 2021, more than 80 per cent of euro banknotes in circulation (cumulated...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014320825
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The (in)stability of money demand in the Euro area
Nautz, Dieter; Rondorf, Ulrike - 2010
The instability of standard money demand functions has undermined the role of monetary aggregates for monetary policy analysis in the euro area. This paper uses country-specific monetary aggregates to shed more light on the economics behind the instability of euro area money demand. Our results...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008664568
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Divisia monetary aggregates for a heterogeneous euro area
Brill, Maximilian; Nautz, Dieter; Sieckmann, Lea - 2019 - This version: June 25, 2019
We introduce a Divisia monetary aggregate for the euro area that accounts for the heterogeneity across member countries both, in terms of interest rates and the decomposition of monetary assets. In most of the euro area countries, the difference between the growth rates of the country-specific...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012023395
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Consumer cash usage : a cross-country comparison with payment diary survey data
Bagnall, John; Bounie, David; Huynh, Kim P.; Kosse, Anneke - 2014
We measure consumers’ use of cash by harmonizing payment diary surveys from seven countries: Australia, Austria, Canada, France, Germany, the Netherlands, and the United States (conducted 2009 through 2012). Our paper finds important cross-country differences, for example, the level of cash...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010384150
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Money growth and consumer price inflation in the euro area : a wavelet analysis
Mandler, Martin; Scharnagl, Michael - 2014
Our paper studies the relationship between money growth and consumer price inflation in the euro area using wavelet analysis. Wavelet analysis allows to account for variations in the money growth-inflation relationship both across the frequency spectrum and across time. We find evidence of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010433361
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Coin migration between Germany and other euro area countries
Uhl, Matthias - 2020
Euro coins have a common European side and an individual national side. Thanks to coin migration, coins bearing a panoply of national sides are in circulation throughout the euro area. In this paper, we model the mixing of coins circulating in the euro area countries and in particular the extent...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012272025
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Is it really more dispersed? : measuring and comparing the stress from the common monetary policy in the euro area
Quint, Dominic - 2014
The ECB's one size monetary policy is unlikely to fit all euro area members at all times, which raises the question of how much monetary policy stress this causes at the national level. I measure monetary policy stress as the difference between actual ECB interest rates and Taylor-rule implied...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010349426
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The demand and supply of money under high inflation : Brazil 1974/94
Tourinho, Octávio Augusto Fontes - 2015
A specification for the demand for money in economies where inflation is high and stochastic is presented. It uses a generalized functional form and includes the variance of the inflation rate as an explanatory variable, and is estimated for Brazil in the period 1974/94 under the assumption that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011997229
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The impact of the European Monetary Union on inflation persistence in the euro area
Meller, Barbara; Nautz, Dieter - 2009
This paper uses the European Monetary Union (EMU) as a natural experiment to investigate whether more effective monetary policy reduces the persistence of inflation. Taking into account the fractional integration of inflation, we confirm that inflation dynamics differed considerably across Euro...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003875991
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Sovereign default swap market efficiency and country risk in the eurozone
Gündüz, Yalın; Kaya, Orcun - 2013
sovereign CDSs of 10 eurozone countries to test the evidence of long memory behavior during the financial crisis. Our analysis … eurozone countries by estimating dynamic conditional correlations. -- Credit default swaps ; long memory ; sovereign risk … ; eurozone economies ; FIGARCH ; dynamic conditional correlation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009731982