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Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003478818
Evidence on the effectiveness of FX interventions is either limited to short horizons or hampered by debatable identification. We address these limitations by identifying a structural vector autoregressive model for the daily frequency with an external instrument. Applying this approach to the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012138448
This paper analyzes the time-varying credibility of the Fed's inflation target in an empirical macro model with … across monetary policy regimes. I find that imperfect credibility is pronounced during the Volcker Disinflation and to a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013472154
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10000991686
We use a representative online survey to investigate the inflation expectations of German consumers and the credibility … of the ECB's inflation target during the recent high inflation period. We find that credibility has trended downwards …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013285915
According to the two-country full information New Keynesian model with flexible exchange rates, the real exchange rate appreciates in response to an asymmetric negative demand shock at the zero lower bound (ZLB) and exacerbates the adverse macroeconomic effects. This finding requires inflation...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012510174
This paper investigates to what extent Chinese monetary policy is constrained by the dollar peg. To this end, we use a cointegration framework to examine whether Chinese interest rates are driven by the Fed's policy. In a second step, we estimate a monetary model for China, in which we include...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008796581
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001664569
citizens in January 2019 that is designed to measure long-term inflation expectations and the credibility of the inflation … target. Our results indicate that credibility has decreased in our sample period, particularly in the course of the deep … several years, credibility has declined mainly because Germans increasingly expect that inflation will be much higher than 2 …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012590362
Evidence on the credibility of a central bank's inflation target typically refers to the anchoring of survey …-varying credibility of the inflation target. Our results indicate that credibility has significantly decreased in our sample period … below 2% for several years, credibility has declined mainly because Germans increasingly expect that inflation will be much …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012225643