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. Macroeconomists increasingly rely on survey data on subjective expectations. An innovative approach to measure aggregate uncertainty … exploits the rounding patterns in individuals' responses to survey questions on inflation expectations (Binder, 2017). This … inflation expectations. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012034114
Current time allocation and household production models face three major weaknesses: First, they only describe the average time allocation. Thus, information about the order of activities is lost. Therefore, it is impossible to describe the influence of activities on later ones. Such...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014480143
incorrect identification strategies. We conduct an experiment to investigate the factors that drive violations of consistency …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014323610
Loss aversion postulates that people prefer avoiding losses over acquiring gains of equal size. It is a central part of prospect theory and, according to Daniel Kahneman, “the most significant contribution of psychology to behavioral economics” (Kahneman, 2011, p. 300). It has powerful...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014487321
. Based on a randomized survey experiment, we investigate the role of over-optimism when evaluating the potential impact of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014473206
There are many important decision problems where learning through experimentation is costly or impossible. In these situations, individuals may try to learn from observing the outcomes of others who have made similar decisions. Often, however, information about others comprises a selected...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011982107
in this domain. In contrast, the average participant in our experiment is strikingly close to Bayesian in her belief …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011542204
meet biased consumers' unreasonable high expectations which then become partially self-fulfilling. Consequently, the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014476790
This chapter presents a microeconomic, behavioral perspective on bounded rationality and beliefs. It begins with an account of how research on belief biases, in particular via probabilistic belief elicitation, has become mainstream in economics only relatively recently and late, even in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014521135
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003518841