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Bank loan supply shocks and alternative financing of non-financial corporations in the euro area
Mandler, Martin; Scharnagl, Michael - 2019
-bank loans to be substitutes for bank loans with negative responses to a positive loan supply shock while trade credit is a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012034573
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The effects of US monetary policy shocks : applying external instrument identification to a dynamic factor model
Kerssenfischer, Mark - 2017
Dynamic factor models and external instrument identification are two recent advances in the empirical macroeconomic literature. This paper combines the two approaches in order to study the effects of monetary policy shocks. I use this novel framework to re-examine the effects found by Forni and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011636064
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Monetary policy and the oil futures market
Eickmeier, Sandra; Lombardi, Marco - 2012
We assess the transmission of monetary policy shocks on oil prices using a VAR model. We identify monetary policy and financial activity shocks disentangled from demand and oil supply shocks using sign restrictions. We obtain the following main findings. (i) Monetary policy and financial...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009682077
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Robust inference intime-varying structural VAR models : the DC-Cholesky multivariate stochasticvolatility model
Hartwig, Benny - 2020
This paper investigates how the ordering of variables affects properties of the time-varying covariance matrix in the Cholesky multivariate stochastic volatility model.It establishes that systematically different dynamic restrictions are imposed whenthe ratio of volatilities is time-varying....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012250452
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Partial pooling with cross-country priors : an application to house price shocks
Roth, Markus - 2020
estimation uncertainty. As a by-product, the method delivers measures of cross-country heterogeneity. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012173539
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The impact of uncertainty and certainty shocks
Schüler, Yves S. - 2020
's (2009) two identification steps into one. I find that an uncertainty shock widens the conditional distribution of future … real economic activity growth, in line with a risk shock. Conversely, a certainty shock (a shock strongly decreasing … that the two shocks are different shocks. Each shock impacts the real economy uniquely. I support this with the underlying …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012180723
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The financial market effects of the ECB's asset purchase programs
Lewis, Vivien; Roth, Markus - 2017
The European Central Bank's asset purchase programs, while intended to stabilize the economy, may have unintended side effects on financial stability. This paper aims at gauging the effects on financial markets, the banking sector, and lending to non-financial firms. Using a structural vector...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011712553
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To sign or not to sign? : on the response of prices to financial and uncertainty shocks
Meinen, Philipp; Röhe, Oke - 2018
that such disturbances are important drivers of output fluctuations in both economies, we find the shock responses of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011897983
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The global financial cycle and macroeconomic tail risks
Beutel, Johannes; Emter, Lorenz; Metiu, Norbert; … - 2022
We study the link between the global financial cycle and macroeconomic tail risks using quantile vector autoregressions. Contractionary shocks to financial conditions and monetary policy in the United States cause elevated downside risks to growth around the world. By tightening financial...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013459721
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Monetary policy communication shocks and the macroeconomy
Goodhead, Robert; Kolb, Benedikt - 2018
Using federal funds futures data, we show the importance of surprise communication as a component of monetary policy for U.S. macro variables, both before and after 2008. While Gürkaynak et al. (2005) stress the importance of monetary policy communication for asset prices, much of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011938122