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The evolution of the yields of different maturities is related and can be described by a reduced number of commom latent factors. Multifactor interest rate models of the finance literature, common factor models of the time series literature and others use this property. Each model has advantages...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012053243
We use no arbitrage models with macro variables to study the interaction between the macroeconomy and the yield curve. This interaction is a key element for monetary policy and for forecasting. The model was used to analyze the Brazilian domestic financial market using a daily dataset and two...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012039147
Affine term structure models of bond yields are important tools for analyzing fixed income markets and monetary policy. Estimators of Adrian, Crump, and Mönch (2013) and Diez de Los Rios (2015) replace time-consuming nonlinear search procedures with a set of simple linear regressions. However,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014320252
term structure model to decompose bond excess returns into expected excess returns (risk premia) and the unexpected part …. In order to explore these risk premia and innovations, we complement macro variables by financial condition variables as …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010436625
Using arbitrage-free affine models, we analyze the dynamics of German bond yields and risk premia for the period 1999 … macroeconomic factors allows us to analyze their effect on the risk aversion of market participants. Looking at the impact of the … recent crises, we see that particularly the market prices of risk for the real activity and the price factor changed most …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009656194
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012053317
markets. We develop a model from term structure, credit risk and vector autoregressive models, based on the articles by Ang … simplifying their model, propose a new estimation method, add credit risk, and show results for Brazilian domestic and external …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012025179
to overestimate the number of jumps in yield spreads and puts the coherence of test results at risk. We formalize the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014343097
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013428049
Since the negotiation of the Maastricht Treaty in December 1991 expectations on the new European currency could possibly influence European interest rates. The focus of this paper is both on the theoretical and empirical analysis of the link between European Monetary Union (EMU) and German...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011621678