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Bitcoin was conceptualized in response to perceived shortcomings in the monetary and financialsystem, not only related to large financial institutions but also to discretionary decision makingin monetary policy. Using high-frequency data and a weekly proxy VAR model, I study theimpact of...
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One of the main concerns associated with central bank digital currencies (CBDC) is the disintermediating effect on the banking sector in general, and the risk of bank runs in times of crisis in particular. This paper examines the implications of an interest-bearing CBDC on banking crises in a...
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We construct a measure of the short-term world interest rate using principal component analysis. Drawing on real … interest rate data for 18 OECD countries for the period 1985 - 2008, persistent deviations from the world interest rate that … that a rise in conditional consumption growth volatility relative to the rest of the world reduces the foreign exchange …
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We explore whether modelling parameter time variation improves the point, interval and density forecasts of nine major exchange rates vis-a-vis the US dollar over the period 1976-2015. We find that modelling parameter time variation is needed for an accurate calibration of forecast confidence...
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