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Using a nonlinear Bayesian likelihood approach that fully accounts for the lower bound on nominal interest rates, we analyze US post-crisis macroeconomic dynamics and provide reference parameter estimates. We find that despite the attention received in the literature, neither the inclusion of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012406022
We analyse the cross-country dimension of financial cycles by studying cyclical co-movements in credit, house prices, equity prices and interest rates across the G7 economies. We use wavelet-based statistics to assess at which frequencies cyclical fluctuations and their crosscountry co-movements...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012020175
We document that expansionary monetary policy shocks are less effective at stimulating output and investment in periods of high volatility compared to periods of low volatility, using a regime-switching vector autoregression. The lower effectiveness of monetary policy can be linked to weaker...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011564503
We develop a model of bank risk-taking with strategic sovereign default risk. Domestic banks invest in real projects … their default risks through purchases of bonds. But, for high debt levels, this influence is lost since bank and government …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012301195
One of the main concerns associated with central bank digital currencies (CBDC) is the disintermediating effect on the … banking sector in general, and the risk of bank runs in times of crisis in particular. This paper examines the implications of … an interest-bearing CBDC on banking crises in a dynamic bank run model with a financial accelerator. The analysis …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014495919
We study the link between the global financial cycle and macroeconomic tail risks using quantile vector autoregressions. Contractionary shocks to financial conditions and monetary policy in the United States cause elevated downside risks to growth around the world. By tightening financial...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013459721
financially dependent industries. Finally, we show that integration increases the similarity of bank lending fluctuations between …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012651086
Our results uncover a so far undocumented ability of the interbank market to distinguish between banks of different quality in times of aggregate distress. We show empirical evidence that during the 2007 financial crisis the inability of some banks to roll over their interbank debt was not due...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011414244
What is the impact of a sudden and sizeable increase in bank capital requirements on the lending activity by directly … affected banks and by non-affected non-bank financial institutions (NBFIs)? To answer this question, we apply a difference … activities, in riskier and more competitive borrower segments, but NBFIs do not seem to rely on increased bank funding to finance …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014384399
The US credit boom has been identified as one of the causes of the global financial crisis and the resulting debt overhang is seen as the primary reason for the weak economic recovery. Most of the existing literature links the credit boom to the emergence of the shadow banking system. This paper...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011456517