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Winkelmann, Lars; Yao, Wenying - 2021

This paper develops high-frequency econometric methods to test for jumps in the spread of bond yields. We derive a coherent inference procedure that detects a jump in the yield spread only if at least one of the two underlying bonds displays a jump. We formalize the test as a sequential...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012655372

Tests for jumps in yield spreads

Winkelmann, Lars; Yao, Wenying - 2023

This paper studies high-frequency econometric methods to test for a jump in the spread of bond yields. We propose a coherent inference procedure that detects a jump in the yield spread only if at least one of the two underlying bonds displays a jump. Ignoring this inherent connection by basing...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014343097

Collateral requirements and asset prices

Brumm, Johannes; Grill, Michael; Kubler, Felix; … - 2013

substantially increases the return volatility of long-lived assets. Moreover, otherwise identical assets with different degrees of …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010203684

Investor fears and risk premia for rare events

Schwarz, Claudia - 2014 - This version: January 13, 2014

This paper uses the method developed by Bollerslev and Todorov (2011b) to estimate risk premia for extreme events for the US and the German stock markets. The method extracts jump tail measures from high-frequency futures price data and from options data. In a second step, jump tail...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010249730

The nonlinear dynamics of corporate bond spreads : regime-dependent effects of their determinants

Fischer, Henning; Stolper, Oscar - 2019

varies substantially with market conditions. In periods of high volatility, systematic credit risk - rather than interest … volatility is low, it becomes a crucial factor during stress periods. Our results challenge the notion that spreads predominantly …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011979160

Macroeconomic stability and the real interest rate : a cross-country analysis

Groth, Charlotta; Zampolli, Fabrizio - 2010

that a rise in conditional consumption growth volatility relative to the rest of the world reduces the foreign exchange … relation between the volatility in consumption growth and the level of real interest rates relative to the world interest rate … rates and macroeconomic volatility, on the one hand, and macroeconomic volatility and the net foreign asset position, on the …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008695840

Procyclical asset management and bond risk premia

Barbu, Alexandru; Fricke, Christoph; Mönch, Emanuel - 2020

Institutional funds have concentrated ownership by a few institutional investors, infrequent outflows and essentially no leverage. Yet using unique granular data on the bond holdings of institutional funds, we show that their trading behavior is strongly procyclical: they actively move into...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012250652

The determinants of CDS spreads : evidence from the model space

Pelster, Matthias; Vilsmeier, Johannes - 2016

We apply Bayesian Model Averaging and a frequentistic model space analysis to assess the pricing-determinants of credit default swaps (CDS). Our study focuses on the complete model space of plausible models covering most of the variables and specifications used elsewhere in the literature,...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011561899

Decomposition of country-specific corporate bond spreads

Dötz, Niko - 2014

This paper presents a new approach, based on the Merton model, to decomposing corporate bond spreads into the expected loss, bond risk premium and liquidity premium components. The approach focuses on establishing the bond risk premium using the equity risk premium and the hedge ratio, which are...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010458538

Financial conditions, macroeconomic factors and (un)expected bond excess returns

Fricke, Christoph; Menkhoff, Lukas - 2014

Bond excess returns can be predicted by macro factors, however, large parts remain still unexplained. We apply a novel term structure model to decompose bond excess returns into expected excess returns (risk premia) and the unexpected part. In order to explore these risk premia and innovations,...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010436625

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