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Brexit - the United Kingdom leaving the European Union - continues to create an unpredictable social and political landscape. Uncertainty and perceptions are influential drivers when it comes to migration decisions, and yet, the literature's inference typically relies on individual-level data....
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We design and implement a novel experimental test of subjective expected utility theory and its generalizations. Our … function, but not with subjective utility theory. The theory is tested by gauging how subjects respond to price changes. A … majority of subjects respond to price changes in the direction predicted by the theory, but not to a degree that makes them …
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We develop a measure of static misallocation that separates uncertainty from misallocation generated by tax-like distortions. In the Finnish firm-level data, uncertainty accounts for the majority of ex post misallocation and explains a strong decreasing age-dependent trend in it. To understand...
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liquidation costs. In particular, in our model ambiguity aversion is observationally equivalent to increased risk aversion. This …
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Measuring economic uncertainty is crucial for understanding investment decisions by individuals and firms. Macroeconomists increasingly rely on survey data on subjective expectations. An innovative approach to measure aggregate uncertainty exploits the rounding patterns in individuals' responses...
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real economic activity growth, in line with a risk shock. Conversely, a certainty shock (a shock strongly decreasing …
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