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The shocks matter : improving our estimates of exchange rate pass-through
Forbes, Kristin; Hjortsoe, Ida; Nenova, Tsvetelina - 2015
A major challenge for monetary policy has been predicting how exchange rate movements will impact inflation. We propose a new focus: incorporating the underlying shocks that cause exchange rate fluctuations when evaluating how these fluctuations "pass through" into import and consumer prices. We...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011384119
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Vehicle currency pricing and exchange rate pass-through
Chen, Natalie; Chung, Wanyu; Novy, Dennis - 2019
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012016788
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Shocks versus structure : explaining differences in exchange rate pass-through across countries and time
Forbes, Kristin; Hjortsoe, Ida; Nenova, Tsvetelina - 2017
We show that exchange rate pass-through to consumer prices varies not only across countries, but also over time. Previous literature has highlighted the role of an economy's "structure" - such as its inflation volatility, inflation rate, use of foreign currency invoicing, and openness - in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011671018
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Central bank information shocks and exchange rates
Franz, Thorsten - 2020 - This version: February 2020
The dynamic effects of ECB announcements, disentangled into pure monetary policy and central bank information shocks, on the euro (EUR) exchange rate are examined using a Bayesian Proxy Vector Autoregressive (VAR) model fed with high-frequency data. Contractionary monetary policy shocks result...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012180641
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On the empirical relevance of the exchange rate as a shock absorber at the zero lower bound
Finck, David; Hoffmann, Mathias; Hürtgen, Patrick - 2023 - February 3, 2023
We estimate the effects of a negative asymmetric demand shock on the real exchange rate for the euro area vis-à-vis the … output, confirming its shock-absorbing capacity before and during the ZLB episode. The stabilizing role of the exchange rate …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014320485
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Do exchange rates absorb demand shocks at the ZLB?
Hoffmann, Mathias; Hürtgen, Patrick - 2021
appreciates in response to an asymmetric negative demand shock at the zero lower bound (ZLB) and exacerbates the adverse … at the ZLB. In sharp contrast to the full information model: (i) A negative demand shock concentrated in the home country … causes a real exchange rate depreciation that partially absorbs the demand shock. (ii) A VAR with an identified demand shock …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012510174
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The dynamic impact of FX interventions on financial markets
Menkhoff, Lukas; Rieth, Malte; Heidland, Tobias - 2019
Evidence on the effectiveness of FX interventions is either limited to short horizons or hampered by debatable identification. We address these limitations by identifying a structural vector autoregressive model for the daily frequency with an external instrument. Applying this approach to the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012138448
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Monetary policy and the oil futures market
Eickmeier, Sandra; Lombardi, Marco - 2012
We assess the transmission of monetary policy shocks on oil prices using a VAR model. We identify monetary policy and financial activity shocks disentangled from demand and oil supply shocks using sign restrictions. We obtain the following main findings. (i) Monetary policy and financial...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009682077
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Does uncertainty reduce growth? : using disasters as natural experiments
Baker, Scott; Bloom, Nicholas - 2013
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010191904
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International trade and the transmission of temperature shocks
Osberghaus, Daniel; Schenker, Oliver - 2022
We examine how the adverse impacts of weather shocks are distributed through the trade network. Exploiting a rich, theoretically derived, fixed effects structure, we find significant negative short-run effects of high temperature on exports. A month with an average temperature above 30 °C...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013359053