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Accominotti, Olivier; Albers, Thilo N. H.; Oosterlinck, Kim - 2023

This paper explores how selective default expectations affect the pricing of sovereign bonds in a historical laboratory: the German default of the 1930s. We analyze yield differentials between identical government bonds traded across various creditor countries before and after bond market...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014495920

Sovereign risk, interbank freezes, and aggregate fluctuations

Engler, Philipp; Große Steffen, Christoph - 2014

This paper studies the bank-sovereign link in a dynamic stochastic general equilibrium set-up with strategic default on public debt. Heterogeneous banks give rise to an interbank market where government bonds are used as collateral. A default penalty arises from a breakdown of interbank...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010457126

Race to the debt trap? : spatial econometric evidence on debt in German municipalities

Fossen, Frank M.; Freier, Ronny; Martin, Thorsten - 2014

Through an intertemporal budget constraint, jurisdictions may gain advantages in tax and spending competition by 'competing' on debt. While the existing spatial econometric literature focuses on tax and spending competition, very little is known about spatial interaction via public debt. This...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010233999

Pre-emptive sovereign debt restructuring and holdout litigation

Anand, Kartik; Gai, Prasanna - 2018

We offer an analytical framework for studying "pre-emptive" debt exchanges. Countries can tailor a sovereign bankruptcy framework by choosing provisions (or "haircuts") ex ante, but must contend with the market discipline of holdout litigation ex post. Secondary markets play a role in shaping...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011874276

Optimal sovereign default

Adam, Klaus; Grill, Michael - 2013

When is it optimal for a government to default on its legal repayment obligations? We answer this question for a small open economy with domestic production risk in which contracting frictions make it optimal for the government to finance itself by issuing non-contingent debt. We show that...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009733001

Bank use of sovereign CDS in the eurozone crisis : hedging and risk incentives

Acharya, Viral V.; Gündüz, Yalın; Johnson, Tim - 2018

Using a comprehensive dataset from German banks, we document the usage of sovereign credit default swaps (CDS) during the European sovereign debt crisis of 2008-2013. Banks used the sovereign CDS market to extend, rather than hedge, their long exposures to sovereign risk during this period....

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011888333

Convenient but risky government bonds

Kaldorf, Matthias; Röttger, Joost - 2023

How does convenience yield interact with sovereign risk and the supply of government bonds? We propose a model of sovereign debt and default in which convenience yield arises because investors are able to pledge government bonds as collateral on financial markets. Convenience yield is dependent...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014320773

Impact of macro shocks on sovereign default probabilities

Matsumura, Marco Shinobu - 2015

We use macro finance models to study the interaction between macro variables and the Brazilian sovereign yield curve using daily data. We calculate the model implied default probabilities and a measure of the impact of macro shocks on the probabilities. An extension of the Dai-Singleton...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012039415

The British foreign exchange reserves puzzle

Hüfner, Felix - 2000

The British foreign exchange reserves decreased by 40 percent during the period August 1996 - December 1999 although the Pound Sterling is considered a floating exchange rate since it left the EMS in 1992. Since changes in the level of foreign exchange reserves are usually taken as indicators...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013428351

Global liquidity and exchange market pressure in emerging market economies

Hossfeld, Oliver; Pramor, Marcus - 2018

We analyse the relationship between global liquidity and exchange market pressure in 32 emerging market economies … accounts for changes in exchange rates, foreign exchange reserves and, optionally, interest rates. Surges in monetary liquidity … market conditions: ample liquidity provision in advanced economies contributes to the build-up of financial stability risks …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011820941

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