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revisit claims in the literature that money growth is Granger-causal for inflation at low frequencies. Applying frequency …-specific tests in a comprehensive system setup for euro-area data we consider various theoretical predictors of inflation. A general … Granger-causal for low-frequency inflation movements, and all variables affect money growth. We therefore interpret opposite …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009774367
analyze China’s role in global inflation dynamics. We identify Chinese supply and demand shocks and examine their … to be more strongly affected than consumer prices by Chinese shocks. The overall share of international inflation … exposure help explaining crosscountry differences in price responses. -- Global inflation ; China ; international business …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009732001
find a higher average forecast accuracy of models that incorporate information on inflation expectations from the ECB’s SPF … inflation expectations are typically not large but significant in some periods. Both short- and long-term expectations provide … (not always for the countries). The analysis is undertaken for headline inflation and inflation excluding energy and food …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012792526
This paper contrasts empirically four leading models of inflation dynamics - the accelerationist Phillips curve (APC …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012061223
conditions and to any form of intertemporal or nominal-real links. They are easy to employ in practice, using inflation protected … bonds to infer real rates. With a time-varying inflation target, they can implement arbitrary inflation dynamics, including …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013459408
This paper examines the reasons for the declining path of inflation since the 1970s. In particular, it focusses on the … inflation. The paper makes use of different data from individual countries and panel of countries. These data show that the … dispersion of inflation and the behavior of relative prices follow a pattern that is consistent with several globalization …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013342243
dynamics of inflation implied by macroeconomic data, the model needs to assume an average duration of price contracts which is …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003546364
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012601651
I derive the imperfect-common-knowledge Phillips curve under the assumption of Rotemberg pricing. The curve differs from the Calvo version in one important aspect. Expectations of future relative prices impact in ation.
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011582888
In many forward-looking macroeconomic models, such as the New Keynesian model, firms' expectations about the future play a key role in determining outcomes today. We examine this hypothesis using a novel panel dataset on firms actual and expected price changes collected by the Confederation of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011523616