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We develop a macroeconomic portfolio stress test that is specifically geared towards small and medium-sized banks. We combine a credit risk stress test which simulates credit impairments via a CreditMetrics type multi-factor portfolio model with an income stress test in the form of dynamic panel...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011308474
then use the model to run a top-down stress test and simulate losses on the individual bank level for the years from 2018 …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012012997
This paper introduces a stress test of the corporate credit portfolios of 24 large German banks by a two-stage approach: First, a macro-econometric model is used to forecast the impact of a substantial increase of the user cost of business capital for firms worldwide on three particularly...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009509091
How does bank distress impact their customers' probability of default and trade credit availability? We address this … question by looking at a unique sample of German firms from 2000 to 2011. We follow their firm-bank relationships through times … of distress and crisis, featuring the different transmission of bank distress shocks into already weakened firm balance …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012103361
How does bank distress impact their customers' probability of default and trade credit availability? We address this … question by looking at a unique sample of German firms from 2000 to 2011. We follow their firm-bank relationships through times … of distress and crisis, featuring the different transmission of bank distress shocks into already weakened firm balance …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012108717
lending behavior and risk sensitivity of a risk-neutral bank. CDS contracts may be used to hedge a bank’s credit risk exposure … at a certain (potentially distorted) price. Regulation is found to induce the risk-neutral bank to behave in a more risk … credit risk. Under the substitution approach in Basel II (and III) a risk-neutral bank will over-, fully or under-hedge its …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009509090
observe provisioning practices before and after disclosure becomes mandatory. Our findings suggest that bank managers use loan … pressure and highlights the role of depositors and public pressure in the monitoring of bank managers. We exploit cross …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012256499
Regulation needs effective supervision; but regulated entities may deviate with unobserved actions. For identification, we analyze banks, exploiting ECB’s asset-quality-review (AQR) and supervisory security and credit registers. After AQR announcement, reviewed banks reduce riskier securities...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012214740
Increases in firm default risk raise the default probability of banks while decreasing output and inflation in US data. To rationalize the empirical evidence, we analyse firm risk shocks in a New Keynesian model where entrepreneurs and banks engage in a loan contract and both are subject to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014501102
sovereign debt exposures and the implications of sovereign exposures for bank risk. Our main findings are as follows. First … impact of sovereign bond holdings on bank risk. This result could indicate the widespread absence of marking-to-market for …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009787584