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Shocks versus structure : explaining differences in exchange rate pass-through across countries and time
Forbes, Kristin; Hjortsoe, Ida; Nenova, Tsvetelina - 2017
We show that exchange rate pass-through to consumer prices varies not only across countries, but also over time. Previous literature has highlighted the role of an economy's "structure" - such as its inflation volatility, inflation rate, use of foreign currency invoicing, and openness - in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011671018
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Buried in the vaults of central banks : monetary gold hoarding and the slide into the Great Depression
Karau, Sören - 2020 - This draft: October 2020
of narrative information to sharpen shock identification in a structural VAR analysis based on sign restrictions …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012405992
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The effects of US monetary policy shocks : applying external instrument identification to a dynamic factor model
Kerssenfischer, Mark - 2017
Dynamic factor models and external instrument identification are two recent advances in the empirical macroeconomic literature. This paper combines the two approaches in order to study the effects of monetary policy shocks. I use this novel framework to re-examine the effects found by Forni and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011636064
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On the empirical relevance of the exchange rate as a shock absorber at the zero lower bound
Finck, David; Hoffmann, Mathias; Hürtgen, Patrick - 2023 - February 3, 2023
We estimate the effects of a negative asymmetric demand shock on the real exchange rate for the euro area vis-à-vis the … output, confirming its shock-absorbing capacity before and during the ZLB episode. The stabilizing role of the exchange rate …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014320485
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Reconciling narrative monetary policy disturbances with structural VAR model shocks?
Kliem, Martin; Kriwoluzky, Alexander - 2013
investigate whether employing the narrative monetary shock account as a proxy variable in a VAR model aligns both shock series. We …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009771126
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Robust inference intime-varying structural VAR models : the DC-Cholesky multivariate stochasticvolatility model
Hartwig, Benny - 2020
This paper investigates how the ordering of variables affects properties of the time-varying covariance matrix in the Cholesky multivariate stochastic volatility model.It establishes that systematically different dynamic restrictions are imposed whenthe ratio of volatilities is time-varying....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012250452
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The global financial cycle and macroeconomic tail risks
Beutel, Johannes; Emter, Lorenz; Metiu, Norbert; … - 2022
We study the link between the global financial cycle and macroeconomic tail risks using quantile vector autoregressions. Contractionary shocks to financial conditions and monetary policy in the United States cause elevated downside risks to growth around the world. By tightening financial...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013459721
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Do exchange rates absorb demand shocks at the ZLB?
Hoffmann, Mathias; Hürtgen, Patrick - 2021
appreciates in response to an asymmetric negative demand shock at the zero lower bound (ZLB) and exacerbates the adverse … at the ZLB. In sharp contrast to the full information model: (i) A negative demand shock concentrated in the home country … causes a real exchange rate depreciation that partially absorbs the demand shock. (ii) A VAR with an identified demand shock …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012510174
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To sign or not to sign? : on the response of prices to financial and uncertainty shocks
Meinen, Philipp; Röhe, Oke - 2018
that such disturbances are important drivers of output fluctuations in both economies, we find the shock responses of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011897983
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A novel housing price misalignment indicator for Germany
Hertrich, Markus - 2019
From 2014 until present, housing prices in Germany have been rising faster than consumer prices in all quarters except one, raising concerns about an excessive over-heating of the housing market. To assess the vulnerability of the German housing market to a future realignment of prices or even a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012098990