number of inflation and real activity measures for the United States. We identify demand and supply factors by imposing … demand and supply over the past five decades. The most recent factor estimates indicate that the inflation surge since mid …

We explore the concept of global liquidity based on a factor model estimated using a large set of financial and … macroeconomic variables from 24 advanced and emerging market economies. We measure global liquidity conditions based on the common … global factors in the dynamics of liquidity indicators. By imposing theoretically motivated sign restrictions on factor …

This paper uses a "trendy" approach to understand UK inflation dynamics. It focuses on the time series to isolate a low …-frequency and slow-moving component of inflation (the trend) from deviations around this trend. We find that this slow-moving trend … explains a substantial share of UK inflation dynamics. International prices are significantly correlated with the short …