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Forward trading and collusion in supply functions
Wölfing, Nikolas - 2019
This paper studies the effect of forward contracts on the stability of collusion among firms, competing in supply functions on the spot market. A forward market can increase the range of discount factors which allow to sustain collusion. On the contrary, collusion is destabilised when a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011968922
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Do correlated defaults matter for CDS premia? : an empirical analysis
Koziol, Christian; Koziol, Philipp; Schön, Thomas - 2014
Correlated defaults and systemic risk are clearly priced in credit portfolio securities such as CDOs or index CDSs. In this paper we study an extensive CDX data set for evidence whether correlated defaults are also present in the underlying CDS market. We develop a cash flow based top-down...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010405475
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Comparing models for forecasting the yield curve
Matsumura, Marco Shinobu; Moreira, Ajax - 2015
The evolution of the yields of different maturities is related and can be described by a reduced number of commom latent factors. Multifactor interest rate models of the finance literature, common factor models of the time series literature and others use this property. Each model has advantages...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012053243
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Simultaneity and causality between derivatives trading and spot market volatility in the UK : an empirical investigation
Kyriacou, Kyriacos; Sarno, Lucio - 1998
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001586825
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Inference on the maximal rank of time-varying covariance matrices using high-frequency data
Reiß, Markus; Winkelmann, Lars - 2021
rank estimation method via sequential testing. For a class of stochastic volatility models, we determine data …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012655380
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Robust inference intime-varying structural VAR models : the DC-Cholesky multivariate stochasticvolatility model
Hartwig, Benny - 2020
Cholesky multivariate stochastic volatility model.It establishes that systematically different dynamic restrictions are imposed … divergent when volatility clusters idiosyncratically.It is illustrated that this property is important for empirical … indicate that conclusions may critically hinge on a selectedordering of variables. The dynamic correlation Cholesky …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012250452
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Time-varying stock return correlation, news shocks, and business cycles
Metiu, Norbert; Prieto, Esteban - 2023 - November 25, 2022
innovation to stock return correlation in a vector autoregression are nearly identical to those of a news shock about future … productivity. Thus, market-wide changes in return correlation contain information about changes in future technological …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014227600
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Inflation, deflation, and uncertainty : what drives euro area option-implied inflation expectations and are they still anchored in the sovereign debt crisis?
Scharnagl, Michael; Stapf, Jelena - 2014
We tackle two questions in this paper: In the sovereign debt crisis, what moves the euro area inflation outlook and has the firm anchoring of medium to long-term inflation expectations been touched? Deriving densities from a new data set on options on the euro area harmonized index of consumer...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010415789
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Return differences between DAX ETFs and the benchmark DAX
Schmidhammer, Christoph - 2021
For the DAX index market, this paper analyses the development of return differences between exchange traded funds (ETFs) and the DAX index from the perspective of long-term investors. The newly introduced methodology provides the opportunity to continuously identify long-term costs of passively...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012607112
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The term structure of sovereign spreads in emerging markets : a calibration approach for structural models
Rocha, Katia; García, Francisco Augusto Alcaraz - 2015
This paper proposes a simple structural model to estimate the term structure of sovereign spreads and the implied default probability of a selected group of emerging countries, which accounts for more than 50% of the J. P. Morgan EMBIG index. The real exchange rate dynamics, modeled as a pure...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012023671