Showing 1 - 10 of 973
Virtually each seasonal adjustment software includes an ensemble of seasonality tests for assessing whether a given time series is in fact a candidate for seasonal adjustment. However, such tests are certain to produce either the same resultor conflicting results, raising the question if there...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012301212
-varying correlation ; regime transition ; multivariate GARCH ; smooth transition ; cross-asset correlation ; non-linear estimation …The correlation between stock markets and interest rates has been discussed in numerous studies in the past, with … which allow for time-variability and regime changes in correlation. All estimated models allowing for timevarying …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009625556
indicate that conclusions may critically hinge on a selectedordering of variables. The dynamic correlation Cholesky …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012250452
In this paper, we present a new approach to measuring interest rate risk for insurers within the Swiss Solvency Test, which overcomes the shortcomings of the standard model. The standard model of the Swiss Solvency Test is based on more interest rate risk factors than are actually needed to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010202889
There has been increased interest in the use of "big data" when it comes to forecasting macroeconomic time series such as private consumption or unemployment. However, applications on forecasting GDP are rather rare. In this paper we incorporate Google search data into a Bridge Equation Model, a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011667109
To simultaneously consider mixed-frequency time series, their joint dynamics, and possible structural changes, we introduce a time-varying parameter mixed-frequency VAR. To keep our approach from becoming too complex, we implement time variation parsimoniously: only the intercepts and a common...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011903709
-time data flow as well as parameter uncertainty and time-varying volatility. In addition, we develop a fast estimation algorithm …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012119825
Geographically weighted small area methods have been studied in literature for small area estimation. Although these … approaches are useful for the estimation of small area means efficiently under strict parametric assumptions, they can be very … spatial non-stationarity. Mean squared error estimation is performed by two different analytic approaches that account for the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011455039
Modern systems of official statistics require the estimation and publication of business statistics for disaggregated … area estimation. Recently proposed outlier robust modelbased small area methods assume, however, uncorrelated random … propose outlier robust small area methodology that allows for the presence of spatial correlation in the data. In particular …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010486950
rank estimation method via sequential testing. For a class of stochastic volatility models, we determine data …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012655380