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We propose and implement a method to identify shocks to transition risk, addressing key challenges regarding its … risk in the United States. These shocks have important aggregate effects, also inducing financial instability. They are …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014227599
Using survey data from German households, we find that individuals with lower climate concern tend to have higher inflation expectations up to five years ahead. This correlation is most pronounced among individuals with extremely high inflation expectations. Evaluating candidate explanations, we...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013171786
In a structural dynamic model that incorporates two broad production sectors with different carbon emissions, we find that climate policy uncertainty (CPU) shocks (i) lower the market value of the highly carbon-emitting sector relative to the low carbon-emitting sector, and (ii) reduce real...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014330990
As an example of supranational climate policy coordination for sectors not covered by carbon trading, the European Effort Sharing Decision set national targets for emission reductions for the time period 2013-2020. Member States were free to decide the national policies to implement to achieve...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013399854
Does a shift to ambitious climate policy increase financial fragility? In this paper, we develop a quantitative macroeconomic model with carbon taxes and endogenous financial crises to study such "Climate Minsky Moments". By reducing asset returns, an accelerated transition to net zero exerts...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014632326
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013540557
channels for the behavioural impact of such uncertainty, namely risk aversion about the impact of mitigating actions and the … climate change mitigation efforts through risk aversion or motivated belief channels. The results suggest that reducing …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014487134
The green paradox conveys the idea that climate policies may have unintended side effects when taking into account the reaction of fossil fuel suppliers. In particular, carbon taxes that will be implemented in the future induce resource owners to extract more rapidly which increases present...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010429908
This review summarizes the empirical literature on the effects of natural disasters and weather variations on international trade flows. A first result is that the body of literature is actually not as small as previously suggested. In total, I summarize 19 studies of 18 independent research...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011960760
Climate change causes natural disasters to occur at higher frequency and increased severity. Using a unique dataset on German banks, this paper explores how regionally less diversified banks in Germany adjusted their loan loss provisioning following the severe summer flood of 2013, which...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013370513