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Does a shift to ambitious climate policy increase financial fragility? In this paper, we develop a quantitative macroeconomic model with carbon taxes and endogenous financial crises to study such "Climate Minsky Moments". By reducing asset returns, an accelerated transition to net zero exerts...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014632326
We propose and implement a method to identify shocks to transition risk, addressing key challenges regarding its … risk in the United States. These shocks have important aggregate effects, also inducing financial instability. They are …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014227599
Using survey data from German households, we find that individuals with lower climate concern tend to have higher inflation expectations up to five years ahead. This correlation is most pronounced among individuals with extremely high inflation expectations. Evaluating candidate explanations, we...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013171786
In a structural dynamic model that incorporates two broad production sectors with different carbon emissions, we find that climate policy uncertainty (CPU) shocks (i) lower the market value of the highly carbon-emitting sector relative to the low carbon-emitting sector, and (ii) reduce real...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014330990
We develop a two sector incomplete markets integrated assessment model to analyze the effectiveness of green quantitative easing (QE) in complementing fiscal policies for climate change mitigation. We model green QE through an outstanding stock of private assets held by a monetary authority and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013281474
Climate change causes natural disasters to occur at higher frequency and increased severity. Using a unique dataset on German banks, this paper explores how regionally less diversified banks in Germany adjusted their loan loss provisioning following the severe summer flood of 2013, which...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013370513
Is the asset management sector a source of financial instability? This paper contributes to the debate by performing a macroprudential stress test in order to quantify systemic risks in the mutual fund sector. For this purpose we include the welldocumented flow-performance relationship as an...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011740280
This paper uses the method developed by Bollerslev and Todorov (2011b) to estimate risk premia for extreme events for … method to German data yields very similar results to the ones shown for the US data. The risk premia for rare events … constitute a considerable part of the total equity and variance risk premia for both markets. When using the results to build an …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010249730
shocks affecting banks’ capital, liquidity and credit quality as well as revised banklevel risk perceptions. Relationship …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011414244
Weitzman (2014) proposed that focusing international climate negotiations on a uniform carbon price is more effective than Paris style negotiations in achieving ambitious climate action. We put this hypothesis to an experimental test by simulating international negotiations on climate change in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012500178