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This paper develops high-frequency econometric methods to test for jumps in the spread of bond yields. We derive a coherent inference procedure that detects a jump in the yield spread only if at least one of the two underlying bonds displays a jump. We formalize the test as a sequential...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012655372
framework is a bivariate volatility model, where volatility spillovers of either positive or negative sign are allowed for. Our … countries. Regarding the volatility spillovers, such spillovers from bond returns to those of stocks are stronger than the other … results show that by considering time-varying return and volatility spillovers when calculating the risk-minimising portfolio …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011663407
differences of opinion is left, and hence volatility is decreased. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013428452
The cross-sectional average of pairwise correlations across stocks traded on the NYSE, AMEX, and Nasdaq is a powerful predictor of U.S. economic activity at a horizon of one to four years. Its predictive ability is on a par with the slope of the yield curve and significantly exceeds that of some...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014227600
This paper studies high-frequency econometric methods to test for a jump in the spread of bond yields. We propose a coherent inference procedure that detects a jump in the yield spread only if at least one of the two underlying bonds displays a jump. Ignoring this inherent connection by basing...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014343097
Using a unique data set that contains the complete ownership structure of the German stock market, we study the momentum and contrarian trading of different investor groups. Foreign investors and financial institutions, and especially mutual funds, are momentum traders, whereas private...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010471006
For the DAX index market, this paper analyses the development of return differences between exchange traded funds (ETFs) and the DAX index from the perspective of long-term investors. The newly introduced methodology provides the opportunity to continuously identify long-term costs of passively...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012607112
In this work, I study the impact of high-frequency trading (HFT) on price discovery and volatility in the Bund futures … price discovery compared to Non-HFTs, but also add a higher share to noise than to permanent volatility. Moreover, I find … evidence that HFTs tend to supply less liquidity after an unexpected rise in market volatility and prior to upcoming …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011483067
We use volatility impulse response analysis estimated from the bivariate GARCH-BEKK model to quantify the size and the … persistence of different types of oil price shocks on stock return volatility and the covariance between oil price changes and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011903691
This paper evaluates the profitability of applying four different volatility forecasting models to the trading of … applied in this paper are: historical volatility, two ARCH models, and an autoregressive model for the volatility index. VDAX …. The ARCH models perform best in generating profits for market makers. Forecasts based on historical volatility also …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011622744