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Bond excess returns can be predicted by macro factors, however, large parts remain still unexplained. We apply a novel … term structure model to decompose bond excess returns into expected excess returns (risk premia) and the unexpected part … possible determinants of bond excess returns. We find that the expected part of bond excess returns is driven by macro factors …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010436625
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. Based on German government bond yieldsfrom September 1972 to May 2019,we construct a rolling window of bond ladders where …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012313784
For the largest 55 German banks, we detect the presence of countercyclical yield seeking in the form of acquisition of high-yielding periphery bonds in the period from Q1 2008 to Q2 2011. This investment strategy is pursued by banks not subject to a bailout, banks characterised by high...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012014102
find that, in the first year, the impairments of banks' bond portfolios are much larger than the reductions in their net … interest derivatives have lower impairments in their bond portfolios. In addition, we find that banks' exposures to interest …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012160610
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013431587
We study the response of bond spreads to a liquidity supply shock in the credit default swap (CDS) market. Our … transactions and bond portfolio holdings of German investors. Following the shock, CDS market liquidity declines and bond spreads … a mechanism: as CDS insurance on their bond holdings becomes costlier, investors offload the bonds. Our results …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013259649
Based on an analysis of changes in the yields of German government bonds, we propose a simple model for the term structure of interest rates and show empirically that this model with two parameters (relating to the interest level and slope of the term structure) fits empirically well the data...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015373252
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10000970183
We analyze an estimated stochastic general equilibrium model that replicates key macroeconomic and financial stylized facts during the Great Moderation of 1983-2007. Our model predicts a sizeable and volatile nominal term premium - comparable to recent reduced-form empirical estimates - with...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011740263