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We develop a macroeconomic portfolio stress test that is specifically geared towards small and medium-sized banks. We combine a credit risk stress test which simulates credit impairments via a CreditMetrics type multi-factor portfolio model with an income stress test in the form of dynamic panel...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011308474
risk factors, we separate the bank-specific selection and monitoring abilities from the composition of the loan portfolio …, on average, lower loan losses, (b) the loss rate of a given industry in a bank's loan portfolio is lower if the bank has …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010233376
then use the model to run a top-down stress test and simulate losses on the individual bank level for the years from 2018 …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012012997
Using unique data of a survey among small and medium-sized German banks, we analyze various aspects of risk management over a short-term and medium-term horizon. We especially analyze the effect of a 200-bp increase in the interest level. We find that, in the first year, the impairments of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012160610
Climate change causes natural disasters to occur at higher frequency and increased severity. Using a unique dataset on German banks, this paper explores how regionally less diversified banks in Germany adjusted their loan loss provisioning following the severe summer flood of 2013, which...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013370513
lending behavior and risk sensitivity of a risk-neutral bank. CDS contracts may be used to hedge a bank’s credit risk exposure … at a certain (potentially distorted) price. Regulation is found to induce the risk-neutral bank to behave in a more risk … credit risk. Under the substitution approach in Basel II (and III) a risk-neutral bank will over-, fully or under-hedge its …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009509090
This paper introduces a stress test of the corporate credit portfolios of 24 large German banks by a two-stage approach: First, a macro-econometric model is used to forecast the impact of a substantial increase of the user cost of business capital for firms worldwide on three particularly...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009509091
The US credit boom has been identified as one of the causes of the global financial crisis and the resulting debt overhang is seen as the primary reason for the weak economic recovery. Most of the existing literature links the credit boom to the emergence of the shadow banking system. This paper...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011456517
using a new method, the construction of tailored hypothetical bank competitors. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012651083
observe provisioning practices before and after disclosure becomes mandatory. Our findings suggest that bank managers use loan … pressure and highlights the role of depositors and public pressure in the monitoring of bank managers. We exploit cross …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012256499