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approach is the insight that epidemic dynamics are best tracked over stages, rather than over time. We use a normalization … procedure that makes the pre-policy paths of the epidemic identical across regions. The procedure uncovers regional variation in … the stage of the epidemic at the time of policy implementation. This variation delivers clean identification of the policy …
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An economy's ability to resist adverse shocks, such as an economic recession or natural disaster, is associated with its financial system structure due to different countercyclical funding capabilities. This paper uses a novel database of bank headquarter locations in a cross-country comparison...
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In this paper we analyze how consumers in Germany updated expectations about inƒaflation in response to the COVID-19 outbreak. We use a fixed effects model to estimate the effect of regional exposure to COVID-19 cases, the stringency of restriction measures and local unemployment rates on...
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We study contact tracing in a new macro-epidemiological model in which infected agents may not show any symptoms of the disease and the availability of tests to detect asymptomatic spreaders is limited. Contact tracing is a testing strategy that aims to reconstruct the infection chain of newly...
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