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This review summarizes the empirical literature on the effects of natural disasters and weather variations on international trade flows. A first result is that the body of literature is actually not as small as previously suggested. In total, I summarize 19 studies of 18 independent research...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011960760
Climate change causes natural disasters to occur at higher frequency and increased severity. Using a unique dataset on German banks, this paper explores how regionally less diversified banks in Germany adjusted their loan loss provisioning following the severe summer flood of 2013, which...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013370513
Recent research has found that macroeconomic survey forecasts of uncertainty exhibit several deficiencies, such as … horizon-dependent biases and lower accuracy than simple unconditional uncertainty forecasts. We examine the inflation … uncertainty forecasts from the Bank of England, the Banco Central do Brasil, the Magyar Nemzeti Bank and the Sveriges Riksbank to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011962843
definition and measurement. Our shocks are instances where significant new information about the economic relevance of climate …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014227599
Using survey data from German households, we find that individuals with lower climate concern tend to have higher inflation expectations up to five years ahead. This correlation is most pronounced among individuals with extremely high inflation expectations. Evaluating candidate explanations, we...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013171786
This paper analyzes the impact of declining extraction costs of shale oil producers on the choice of the policy instrument of a climate coalition in the presence of a monopolistic oil supplier such as OPEC. Shale oil producers' extraction costs represent an upper bound for the oil price OPEC can...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011625605
In the framework of the Paris Agreement implementation, financial transfers remain a major point of negotiation for addressing equity concerns raised by the ambitious climate objectives. In complement to the theoretical, experimental and numerical studies that have examined the role of transfers...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012431927
In a structural dynamic model that incorporates two broad production sectors with different carbon emissions, we find that climate policy uncertainty (CPU) shocks (i) lower the market value of the highly carbon-emitting sector relative to the low carbon-emitting sector, and (ii) reduce real...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014330990
We document majority support for policies entailing global redistribution and climate mitigation. Recent surveys on 40,680 respondents in 20 countries covering 72% of global carbon emissions show strong support for an effective and progressive way to combat climate change and poverty: a global...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014296930
We study the interaction of climate policies and investments into fossil and renewable energy generation capacity if policies are set by democratically elected governments and can lead to stranded assets. We develop an overlapping generations model, where elections determine carbon taxation and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014486660