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Price setting has become more flexible following a string of large adverse shocks (Covid-19, the Ukraine War). We argue that a shift to a high-uncertainty regime incentivizes firms to invest in their ability to adjust prices. We formalize this idea in a general equilibrium model with endogenous...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014558815
We present a sticky-price model incorporating heterogeneous firms and systematic firm-level productivity trends. Aggregating the model in closed form, we show that it delivers radically different predictions for the optimal inflation rate than canonical sticky price models featuring homogenous...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011712837
investigate whether employing the narrative monetary shock account as a proxy variable in a VAR model aligns both shock series. We …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009771126
dispersed information New Keynesian model predicts that a contractionary monetary policy shock leads to a short-run rise in ….S. data shows significantly different responses in inflation and inflation expectations consistent with theory. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011740252
appreciates in response to an asymmetric negative demand shock at the zero lower bound (ZLB) and exacerbates the adverse … at the ZLB. In sharp contrast to the full information model: (i) A negative demand shock concentrated in the home country … causes a real exchange rate depreciation that partially absorbs the demand shock. (ii) A VAR with an identified demand shock …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012510174
Using a nonlinear Bayesian likelihood approach that fully accounts for the lower bound on nominal interest rates, we analyze US post-crisis macroeconomic dynamics and provide reference parameter estimates. We find that despite the attention received in the literature, neither the inclusion of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012406022
We extend the canonical income process with persistent and transitory risk to shock distributions with left … data from the United States. We find countercyclical variance and procyclical skewness of persistent shocks. All shock …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012215285
We examine how the occurrence of natural disasters impact the US economy and financial markets using monthly data since 2000. Our analysis reveals large sustained adverse effects of disasters on overall economic activity, with significant implications across various sectors including labor,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015205420
increase after a positive shock to core inflation uncertainty in a vector autoregression. Endogenous changes in household … inflation expectations help to understand the transmission mechanism through which an inflation uncertainty shock generates …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014436184
This paper contrasts empirically four leading models of inflation dynamics - the accelerationist Phillips curve (APC), new Keynesian Phillips curve (NKPC), hybrid Phillips curve (HPC) and sticky information Phillips curve (SIPC). We employ an encompassing Phillips curve specification that allows...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012061245