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Bond excess returns can be predicted by macro factors, however, large parts remain still unexplained. We apply a novel … term structure model to decompose bond excess returns into expected excess returns (risk premia) and the unexpected part … possible determinants of bond excess returns. We find that the expected part of bond excess returns is driven by macro factors …
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Simple life cycle and permanent income hypotheses imply that changes in consumption should be unforecastable. Rational forward-looking agents ought to smooth consumption over the life cycle and exhaust the asset stock accumulated during the working career in retirement. Empirical observations...
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The neo-Fisherian view does not consider a negative interest rate gap a prerequisite for boosting inflation. Instead, a … negative interest rate gap is said to lower inflation. We discuss this counterintuitive response - known as the Fisher paradox …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011671353
conditions and to any form of intertemporal or nominal-real links. They are easy to employ in practice, using inflation protected … bonds to infer real rates. With a time-varying inflation target, they can implement arbitrary inflation dynamics, including …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013459408
in price dispersion. TRACE-associated decreases in crossfund bond mark dispersion provide indirect support for …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010373710
. Based on German government bond yieldsfrom September 1972 to May 2019,we construct a rolling window of bond ladders where …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012313784