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Shocks versus structure : explaining differences in exchange rate pass-through across countries and time
Forbes, Kristin; Hjortsoe, Ida; Nenova, Tsvetelina - 2017
We show that exchange rate pass-through to consumer prices varies not only across countries, but also over time. Previous literature has highlighted the role of an economy's "structure" - such as its inflation volatility, inflation rate, use of foreign currency invoicing, and openness - in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011671018
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US trade policy and the US dollar
Khalil, Makram; Strobel, Felix - 2021
We investigate the extent to which the effect of the 2018/2019 US import tariff hikes on US (post-tariff) import prices was offset by the concurrent appreciation of the US dollar and trace the source of the appreciation back to US trade policy itself. The dollar response to trade policy...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012792730
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Do exchange rates absorb demand shocks at the ZLB?
Hoffmann, Mathias; Hürtgen, Patrick - 2021
According to the two-country full information New Keynesian model with flexible exchange rates, the real exchange rate appreciates in response to an asymmetric negative demand shock at the zero lower bound (ZLB) and exacerbates the adverse macroeconomic effects. This finding requires inflation...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012510174
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Why so sluggish? : analyzing the determinants of price adjustments in the service sector using survey microdata
Polydoro, Angelo; Ardeo, Vagner Laerte - 2018
In this article, we study how the economic environment for firms in the service sector affects their price adjustments by using a novel dataset from the Services Survey of the Brazilian Institute of Economics from the Getulio Vargas Foundation (FGV). The set of variables from the survey includes...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012061481
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On the empirical relevance of the exchange rate as a shock absorber at the zero lower bound
Finck, David; Hoffmann, Mathias; Hürtgen, Patrick - 2023 - February 3, 2023
We estimate the effects of a negative asymmetric demand shock on the real exchange rate for the euro area vis-à-vis the United States, Canada, and Japan by state-dependent sign-restricted local projection methods. We find a real depreciation when interest rates are not at the ZLB, but also when...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014320485
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Are bootstrapped cointegration test findings unreliable?
Schreiber, Sven - 2018
is fundamentally uncertain which covariates are relevant. Thus cointegration is often analyzed in partial systems … significant cointegration outcome using a bootstrapped rank test (Cavaliere, Rahbek, and Taylor, 2012) in the bivariate sub … reject the null of no cointegration, but by simulation we find that they display very low power, such that the (bivariate …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011843041
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A consistent set of multilateral productivity approach-based indicators of price competitiveness
Fischer, Christoph; Hossfeld, Oliver - 2014
We propose a novel, multilaterally consistent productivity approach-based indicator to assess the international price competitiveness of 57 industrialized and emerging economies. It is designed to be a useful assessment tool for monetary policy authorities and, thereby, differs from previously...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010373688
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Central bank information shocks and exchange rates
Franz, Thorsten - 2020 - This version: February 2020
The dynamic effects of ECB announcements, disentangled into pure monetary policy and central bank information shocks, on the euro (EUR) exchange rate are examined using a Bayesian Proxy Vector Autoregressive (VAR) model fed with high-frequency data. Contractionary monetary policy shocks result...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012180641
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Financial shocks and inflation dynamics
Abbate, Angela; Eickmeier, Sandra; Prieto, Esteban - 2016
We assess the effects of financial shocks on inflation, and to what extent financial shocks can account for the "missing disinflation" during the Great Recession. We apply a vector autoregressive model to US data and identify financial shocks through sign restrictions. Our main finding is that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011546785
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Measuring the UK short-run NAIRU
Batini, Nicoletta; Greenslade, Jennifer V. - 2003
This paper derives alternative measures of the short-run NAIRU (SRN) for the UK, the rate for unemployment at which inflation will neither increase nor decrease in the short-run. We estimate the NAIRU jointly with price equations by using the Kalman filter. Our work suggests that both structural...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011517881