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Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014320179
Can a negative shock to sovereign ratings invoke a vicious cycle of increasing government bond yields and further …. However, the persistence of ratings is sufficiently high that a rating shock can have substantialcosts if it occurs at a … sharply, and for a long time. Yet, simulation studies based on our estimations show that it is highly improbable that rating …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011482939
financial conditions in EMEs, and, whether it is transmitted through portfolio flows. We find that a U.S. UMP shock … easing of their own monetary policy stance in response to an expansionary U.S. shock. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011405101
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A sovereign debt crisis can have significant knock-on effects in the financial markets and put financial stability at risk. This paper focuses on the transmission of sovereign risk to insurance companies as some of the largest institutional investors in the sovereign bond market. We use a firm...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011373080
In this paper, we use detailed data on the sovereign debt holdings of all German banks to analyse the determinants of sovereign debt exposures and the implications of sovereign exposures for bank risk. Our main findings are as follows. First, sovereign bond holdings are heterogeneous across...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009787584
Using a comprehensive dataset from German banks, we document the usage of sovereign credit default swaps (CDS) during the European sovereign debt crisis of 2008-2013. Banks used the sovereign CDS market to extend, rather than hedge, their long exposures to sovereign risk during this period....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011888333
How does convenience yield interact with sovereign risk and the supply of government bonds? We propose a model of sovereign debt and default in which convenience yield arises because investors are able to pledge government bonds as collateral on financial markets. Convenience yield is dependent...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014320773
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We analyze the contribution of credit spread, house and stock price shocks to GDP growth in the US based on a Bayesian VAR with time-varying parameters estimated over 1958-2012. Our main findings are: (i) The contribution of financial shocks to GDP growth fluctuates from about 20 percent in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009739598