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Constructing socio-demographic indicators for National Statistical Institutes using mobile phone data : estimating literacy rates in Senegal
Schmid, Timo; Bruckschen, Fabian; Salvati, Nicola; … - 2016
Modern systems of official statistics require the accurate and timely estimation of socio-demographic indicators for … Institutes based on small area estimation that allows for the estimation of socio-demographic indicators by using mobile phone …-demographic indicator, the proposed approach is applicable to indicators from national statistics in general. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011455043
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Predicting innovative firms using web mining and deep learning
Kinne, Jan; Lenz, David - 2019
(science, technology and innovation) policies requires accurate indicators of innovation. Traditional indicators often lack …. In this paper, we propose a novel approach on how to create firm-level innovation indicators at the scale of millions of … firms. We use traditional firm-level innovation indicators from the questionnaire-based Community Innovation Survey (CIS …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011959904
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Disentangling economic recessions and depressions
Candelon, Bertrand; Metiu, Norbert; Straetmans, Stefan - 2013
We propose a nonparametric test that distinguishes “depressions” and “booms” from ordinary recessions and expansions. Depressions and booms are defined as coming from another underlying process than recessions and expansions. We find four depressions and booms in the NBER business cycle...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010202869
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Bank risk taking and competition : evidence from regional banking markets
Kick, Thomas; Prieto, Esteban - 2013
theoretical properties of the indicators for market power and competition. Using the Lerner Index as a proxy for bank …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009792985
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An evaluation of early warning models for systemic banking crises : does machine learning improve predictions?
Beutel, Johannes; List, Sophia; Schweinitz, Gregor von - 2018
This paper compares the out-of-sample predictive performance of different early warning models for systemic banking crises using a sample of advanced economies covering the past 45 years. We compare a benchmark logit approach to several machine learning approaches recently proposed in the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011948379
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Intertemporal preferences and the adoption decision for bluetooth speakers
Guhl, Daniel; Klapper, Daniel - 2019
The adoption decision for durable goods is intertemporal by definition. However, estimating utility and discount functions from revealed preference data using dynamic discrete choice models is difficult because of an inherent identification problem. To overcome this issue, we use stated...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012139042
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Business start-ups by the unemployed : an econometric analysis based on firm data
Pfeiffer, Friedhelm; Reize, Frank - 1998
This study investigates firm survival and employment growth of start-ups by unemployed people in East and West Germany as promoted by the Work Support Act (so called bridging allowances). In 1994, the services provided were improved considerably, which led to a sharp increase in the number of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011620673
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More than joints : multi-substance use, choice limitations, and policy implications
Sovinsky, Michelle; Jacobi, Liana; Allocca, Alessandra; … - 2023
As illicit substances move into the legal product space, substitution patterns with legal products become more salient. In particular, marijuana legalization may have implications for the use of other legal “sin” goods. We estimate a structural model of multi-product use of illegal and legal...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014476791
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Are there bubbles in the Sterling-dollar Exchange Rate? : new evidence from Sequential ADF Tests
Bettendorf, Timo; Chen, Wenjuan - 2012
There has been mixed evidence regarding the existence of rational bubbles in the foreign exchange markets. Standard unit root and cointegration tests are criticized for their low power to detect rational bubbles that periodically collapse. This paper introduces recently developed sequential unit...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009704893
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Do well managed firms make better forecasts?
Bloom, Nicholas; Kawakubo, Takafumi; Meng, Charlotte; … - 2022
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012798248