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Motivated political reasoning: the formation of belief-value constellations

Barron, Kai; Becker, Anna; Huck, Steffen - 2021

We study the causal relationship between moral values ("ought" statements) and factual beliefs ("is" statements) and show that, contrary to predictions of orthodox Bayesian models, values exert an influence on beliefs. This effect is mediated by prior political leanings and, thus, contributes to...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012793076

The 2015 refugee inflow and concerns over immigration

Gallegos Torres, Katia - 2021

How did the large asylum-seeker inflow to Germany in 2015 affect concerns about immigration? Using individual-level panel data for the years 2012–2018, I show that after 2015 concerns about immigration increased by about 21 pp. and support for extreme right-wing parties by about 1.7 pp. These...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012793673

Do party positions affect the public's policy preferences?

Grewenig, Elisabeth; Lergetporer, Philipp; Werner, Katharina - 2019

The standard assumption of exogenous policy preferences implies that parties set their positions according to their voters' preferences. We investigate the reverse effect: Are the electorates' policy preferences responsive to party positions? In a representative German survey, we inform...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012033537

Educational inequality and public policy preferences : evidence from representative survey experiments

Lergetporer, Philipp; Werner, Katharina; Woessmann, Ludger - 2018

To study how information about educational inequality affects public concerns and policy preferences, we devise survey experiments in representative samples of the German population. Providing information about the extent of educational inequality strongly increases concerns about educational...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011905178

Persistence and activation of right-wing political ideology

Cantoni, Davide; Hagemeister, Felix; Westcott, Mark - 2019

We argue that a long-run cultural persistence of right-wing ideology can explain the recent rise of right-wing populism. Shifts in the supply of party platforms can interact with this existing demand, and give rise to patterns of historical persistence. We study the context of Germany in the...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011975296

Leaping into the dark : a theory of policy gambles

Anand, Kartik; Gai, Prasanna; König, Philipp Johann - 2020

Why do politicians sometimes pursue policies with uncertain outcomes? We present a model in which politicians are unable to pre-commit to a status quo policy, and where investors and voters face a conflict over the division of output. Politicians may deviate from the status quo and pursue risky...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012173547

Income misperception and populism

Albers, Thilo N. H.; Kersting, Felix; Kosse, Fabian - 2022

We propose that false beliefs about the own current economic status are an important factor for explaining populist attitudes. Along with the subjects' receptiveness to right-wing populism, we elicit their perceived relative income positions in a representative survey of German households. We...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014458891

Spreading the disease : protest in times of pandemics

Lange, Martin; Monscheuer, Ole - 2021

This study analyzes the impact of COVID-19 deniers on the spread of COVID-19 in Germany. In a first step, we establish a link between regional proxies of COVID-19 deniers and infection rates. We then estimate the causal impact of large anti-lockdown protests on the spread of COVID-19 using an...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012430924

Favoritism by the governing elite

Asatryan, Zareh; Baskaran, Thushyanthan; Birkholz, Carlo; … - 2023

In this paper, we study the extent to which ministers engage in regional favoritism. We are the first to provide a comprehensive analysis of a larger set of the governing elite, not just focusing on the primary leader. We hand-collect birthplaces of this governing elite globally. Combining this...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014441315

Using machine learning for measuring democracy : an update

Gründler, Klaus; Krieger, Tommy - 2021

We provide a comprehensive overview of the literature on the measurement of democracy and present an extensive update … improvements are particularly notable: First, we produce a continuous and a dichotomous version of the Machine Learning democracy … conceptualization of the Machine Learning Index. Finally, we largely expand the data coverage by providing democracy indicators for 186 …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012431822

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