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What share of asset price movements is driven by news? We build a large, time-stamped event database covering scheduled macro news as well as unscheduled events. We find that news account for about 50% of all bond and stock price movements in the United States and euro area since 2002,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013202601
A feature of recent monetary policy asset purchase programmes is the reinvestment policy: the central bank announces to keep the overall volume of assets on its balance sheet constant for some time. In this paper, we systematically assess the macroeconomic effects of such reinvestment policies....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013460153
We analyze the contribution of credit spread, house and stock price shocks to GDP growth in the US based on a Bayesian VAR with time-varying parameters estimated over 1958-2012. Our main findings are: (i) The contribution of financial shocks to GDP growth fluctuates from about 20 percent in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009739598
This paper develops high-frequency econometric methods to test for jumps in the spread of bond yields. We derive a coherent inference procedure that detects a jump in the yield spread only if at least one of the two underlying bonds displays a jump. We formalize the test as a sequential...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012655372
Using German panel data, we assess the causal effect of job loss, and thus of an extensive income shock, on risk … attitude. In line with predictions of expected utility reasoning about absolute risk aversion, losing oneś job reduces the … perceives the threat of job loss and is of a transitory nature. The change in stated risk attitude matches observable job …
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choices being observed, compared to anonymity of choices, on risk taking in a laboratory experiment. I relate participants …' investments in a risky asset directly to social norms for risk taking that are elicited in an incentivized procedure. I find that … risk taking is not affected by the choice being observed by a matched participant. Nor do investments follow elicited norms …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011930435