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framework is a bivariate volatility model, where volatility spillovers of either positive or negative sign are allowed for. Our … countries. Regarding the volatility spillovers, such spillovers from bond returns to those of stocks are stronger than the other … results show that by considering time-varying return and volatility spillovers when calculating the risk-minimising portfolio …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011663407
Have bank regulatory policies and unconventional monetary policies - and any possible interactions - been a factor behind the recent "deglobalisation" in cross-border bank lending? To test this hypothesis, we use bank-level data from the United Kingdom - a country at the heart of the global...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011415783
A growing literature stresses the importance of the “global financial cycle”, a common global movement in asset prices and credit conditions, for emerging market economies (EMEs). It is argued that one of the key drivers of this global cycle is monetary policy in the U.S., which is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011405101
This paper introduces a new transmission channel of banking crises where sizable cross-border bank claims on foreign countries with high domestic crisis risk enable contagion to the home economy. This asset-side channel opposes traditional views that see banking crises originating from either...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012242495
the world. By tightening financial conditions globally, these shocks affect the left tail of the conditional output growth …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013459721
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014486854
An economy's ability to resist adverse shocks, such as an economic recession or natural disaster, is associated with its financial system structure due to different countercyclical funding capabilities. This paper uses a novel database of bank headquarter locations in a cross-country comparison...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012793620
"Closing borders is naive, the virus will come regardless" - this was the policy assumption that was repeatedly stated until mid-March by the WHO, the EU, as well as responsible authorities in Germany and other countries. Meanwhile, other states had started closing their borders to travellers...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012299312
The cross-sectional average of pairwise correlations across stocks traded on the NYSE, AMEX, and Nasdaq is a powerful predictor of U.S. economic activity at a horizon of one to four years. Its predictive ability is on a par with the slope of the yield curve and significantly exceeds that of some...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014227600
We propose an algorithm to model contagion in the interbank market via what we term the credit quality channel. In existing models on contagion via interbank credit, external shocks to banks often spread to other banks only in case of a default. In contrast, shocks are transmitted via asset...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011381702