cover -- Contents -- Series Foreword -- Preface -- Introduction -- A Simple Model of Unemployment and Inflation Dynamics -- Unemployment, the Output Gap, and the Welfare Costs of Economic Fluctuations -- Unemployment and Monetary Policy Design in the New Keynesian Model -- Concluding Remarks and...

We document three changes in postwar US macroeconomic dynamics: (i) the procyclicality of labor productivity has vanished, (ii) the relative volatility of employment has risen, and (iii) the relative (and absolute) volatility of the real wage has risen. We propose an explanation for all three...