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unemployment on voting behaviour. We construct an instrument for unemployment based on the city-level exposure to foreign weak … banks. We find that a one standard deviation increase in instrumented unemployment translates into a 7 percentage increase …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014305674
country has experienced since the Great Depression. The unemployment rate reached as high as 10.1 percent in October 2009 … those in the past by examining worker flows into and out of unemployment taking into account changes in the demographic … results indicate that the increase in the unemployment rate is driven to a larger extent by the lack of hiring (low outflows …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009261372
According to a widespread view, Germany's unemployment crisis is caused by rigid labour markets, low profitability and … Germany's unemployment rate since 1989, first because no distinction is drawn between the situation in the Eastern part of … negotiations. The unification shock to the East added at least 2.5 percentage points to Germany's overall unemployment rate, as …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009668127
This paper examines whether government ideology has influenced monetary policy in OECD countries. We use quarterly data in the 1980.1-2005.4 period and exclude EMU countries. Our Taylor-rule specification focuses on the interactions of a new time-variant index of central bank independence with...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009580361
With more than ten thousand casualties, the 2014 Ukrainian war between pro-Russian separatists and the government in the Donbass region, Ukraine's productive core, has taken a severe toll on the country. Using cross-country panel data over the period 1995-2017, this paper quantifies the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012005303
As from a political economy perspective, politicians often fail to implement structural reforms, we investigate if the resistance to reform is based on the differences in the risk preferences of voters, politicians, and bureaucrats. Based on the empirical results of a survey of the population in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011746548
It is striking that economists in particular firmly believe in the benefits of rule-binding, even though this belief runs counter to the standard assumption of economic theory that we humans are self-interested and therefore extremely resourceful when it comes to circumventing inconvenient...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012671851
We present a model of optimal government policy when policy choices may exacerbate socio-political instability (SPI). We show that optimal policy that takes into account SPI transforms a standard concave growth model into a model with both a poverty trap and endogenous growth. The resulting...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011437000
This paper generalizes the analysis of distributive conflict, politics, and growth developed by by Alesina-Rodrik (1994). We construct a heterogenous-agent framework in which both growth and the distribution of wealth are endogenous. Due to adjustments in the distribution of wealth, the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011437002