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This paper shows that the explanation of the decline in the volatility of GDP growth since the mid-eighties is not the decline in the volatility of exogenous shocks but rather a change in their propagation mechanism.
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evaluated by computing "news" on the basis of an evolving conditioning information set. The marginal contribution is then split … into what is due to timeliness of information and what is due to economic content. We find that the Federal Reserve Bank of …
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