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The optimal weights on indicators in models with partial information about the state of the economy and forward … to have information about the state of the economy that the policymaker does not possess. Certainty-equivalence is shown …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013218510
The purpose of the paper is to survey and discuss inflation targeting in the context of monetary policy rules. The paper provides a general conceptual discussion of monetary policy rules, attempts to clarify the essential characteristics of inflation targeting, compares inflation targeting to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013218714
The paper discusses several issues related to how monetary policy should be conducted in an era of price stability. Low inflation (with base drift in the price level) and price-level stability (without such base drift) are compared, and a suitable loss function (corresponding to flexible...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013219290
"Forecast targeting," forward-looking monetary policy that uses central-bank judgment to construct optimal policy projections of the target variables and the instrument rate, may perform substantially better than monetary policy that disregards judgment and follows a given instrument rule. This...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013220540
The foreign exchange risk premium in an exchange rate target zone regime with devaluation/realignment risks is derived. In contrast to previous literature, the exchange rate's heteroscedasticity within the bard, as well as a separate devaluation/realignment risk, is taken into account. The risk...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013222618
only to the buyer and costs are known only to the seller a situation of bargaining under incomplete information results … the buyer might be allowed to name his quantity in the light of the information he has about benefits. A more complex …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013222660
the instrument responds to all information that significantly affects the projections of inflation and the output gap …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013225117
This paper demonstrates how time consistency of the Ramsey policy - the optimal fiscal and monetary policy under commitment - can be achieved. Each government should leave its successor with a unique maturity structure for the nominal and indexed debt, such that the marginal benefit of a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013232768
Previous analysis of the implementation of inflation targeting is extended to monetary policy responses to different shocks, consequences of model uncertainty, effects of interest rate smoothing and stabilization, a comparison with nominal GDP targeting, and implications of forward-looking...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013232903
The fiscal gains from, and hence the political incentives to, an increase in inflation rate of ten percentage points may be substantial: with Swedish data from 1994, these gains would have been an annual real flow of 3-4 percent of GDP, or a capitalized value of nearly 100 percent of GDP. They...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013233859