Similar Search Results

Monnet, Cyril - 2005

matching model with no commitment and no enforcement. An intrinsically worthless but perfectly durable object called a ‘note …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604558

Money talks

Hoerova, Marie; Monnet, Cyril; Temzelides, Ted - 2009

We study credible information transmission by a benevolent Central Bank. We consider two possibilities: direct … revelation through an announcement, versus indirect information transmission through monetary policy. These two ways of … transmitting information have very different consequences. Since the objectives of the Central Bank and those of individual …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011605137

Infinite-dimensional VARs and factor models

Chudik, Alexander; Pesaran, Hashem - 2009

This paper introduces a novel approach for dealing with the 'curse of dimensionality' in the case of large linear dynamic systems. Restrictions on the coefficients of an unrestricted VAR are proposed that are binding only in a limit as the number of endogenous variables tends to infinity. It is...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011605044

Why do financial systems differ? History matters

Monnet, Cyril; Quintin, Erwan - 2005

We describe a dynamic model of financial intermediation in which fundamental characteristics of the economy imply a unique equilibrium path of bank and financial market lending. Yet we also show that economies whose fundamental characteristics have converged may continue to have very different...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604488

Capital flows and the US ‘New Economy’: consumption smoothing and risk exposure

Miller, Marcus; Castrén, Olli; Zhang, Lei - 2005

In an analytically tractable model of the global economy, we calculate the Pareto improvement where a country experiencing a favourable supply side shock consumes more against expected future output and spreads the risk by selling shares. With capital inflows to finance the ‘New Economy’...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604505

Near-rational exuberance

Bullard, James; Evans, George W.; Honkapohja, Seppo - 2005

We study how the use of judgement or “add-factors” in macroeconomic forecasting may disturb the set of equilibrium outcomes when agents learn using recursive methods. We isolate conditions under which new phenomena, which we call exuberance equilibria, can exist in standard macroeconomic...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604601

A dynamic model of settlement

Koeppl, Thorsten Volker; Monnet, Cyril; Temzelides, Ted - 2006

full information first-best allocation cannot be supported due to incentive constraints. In contrast, this allocation is …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604650

What drives EU banks’ stock returns? Bank-level evidence using the dynamic dividend-discount model

Castrén, Olli; Fitzpatrick, Trevor; Sydow, Matthias - 2006

We combine the dynamic dividend-discount model with an accounting-based vector autoregression framework that allows for a decomposition of EU banks' stock returns to cash-flow and expected return news components. The main findings are that while the bulk of the variability of EU banks' stock...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604723

Global macro-financial shocks and expected default frequencies in the euro area

Castrén, Olli; Dées, Stéphane; Zaher, Fadi - 2008

Modelling the link between the global macro-financial factors and firms’ default probabilities constitutes an elementary part of financial sector stress-testing frameworks. Using the Global Vector Autoregressive(GVAR) model and constructing a linking satellite equation for the firm-level...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604921

Weak and strong cross section dependence and estimation of large panels

Chudik, Alexander; Pesaran, Hashem; Tosetti, Elisa - 2009

This paper introduces the concepts of time-specific weak and strong cross section dependence. A double- indexed process is said to be cross sectionally weakly dependent at a given point in time, t, if its weighted average along the cross section dimension (N) converges to its expectation in...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011605146